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Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.Kyren Williams has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (72.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.0%).This week, Kyren Williams is projected by the predictive model to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.1 targets.Kyren Williams's 2.7 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteable progression in his receiving talent over last year's 1.1 mark.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 26.8 per game) this year.In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 80.0% to 65.9%.This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has given up a feeble 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.
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