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Kyren Williams
NFL · Player Props
Kyren Williams
RB · Los Angeles Rams
Receptions
Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Kyren Williams Receptions

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
  • Kyren Williams has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (72.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.0%).
  • This week, Kyren Williams is projected by the predictive model to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.1 targets.
  • Kyren Williams's 2.7 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteable progression in his receiving talent over last year's 1.1 mark.
Favors Under
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 26.8 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 80.0% to 65.9%.
  • This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has given up a feeble 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.
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