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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to notch 4.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • Kyren Williams has put up significantly more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 89.9% to 86.5%.
  • Kyren Williams's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteworthy reduction in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.5% rate.
  • The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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