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Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+102/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

In this game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by the model to rank in the 82nd percentile among running backs with 3.7 targets.

In regards to air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among running backs this year, accruing a monstrous 6.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

Kyren Williams's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 89.9% to 84.3%.

Kyren Williams's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.50 figure last season.

More Kyren Williams Player Props

Kyren Williams Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6