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Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-117/-107).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -117.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.Kyren Williams has run a route on 61.5% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.Kyren Williams's pass-game effectiveness has improved this year, totaling 7.18 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 4.90 rate last year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.In regards to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the paltry 14th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -2.0 per game.The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.Kyren Williams's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.9% to 83.3%.Kyren Williams profiles as one of the worst running backs in football at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 4.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 15th percentile.
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