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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Kyren Williams has been much less involved in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 69.2% of snaps vs 86.6% last year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to earn 2.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
  • After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last season, Kyren Williams has shown good development this season, currently averaging 8.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Kyren Williams's 82.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteable reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 89.9% figure.
  • Kyren Williams's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a significant regression in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.5% figure.

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