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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Kyren Williams has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, playing on just 69.4% of snaps compared to 86.6% last year.
  • In this contest, Kyren Williams is expected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a huge 8-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Kyren Williams's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 90.0% to 84.2%.
  • Kyren Williams's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.50 rate last year.

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