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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Kyren Williams has run a route on 66.0% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • The projections expect Kyren Williams to total 3.6 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kyren Williams's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 68.1% to 86.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Kyren Williams has totaled a feeble -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 5th percentile among RBs.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • With a bad 4.9 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams places among the bottom running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
  • Kyren Williams's 6.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a substantial drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 8.6% figure.

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