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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 69.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Kyren Williams is expected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.8 rush attempts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 10th-least run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 38.0% run rate.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • After accounting for 77.4% of his team's rush attempts last season, Kyren Williams has played a smaller part in the running game this season, currently comprising only 66.0%.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, San Francisco's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in football.

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