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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-124/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.

The predictive model expects Kyren Williams to notch 16.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Out of all RBs, Kyren Williams grades out in the 95th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 69.9% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Rams as the 7th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

More Kyren Williams Player Props

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