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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 8-point advantage, the Rams are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to total 14.7 carries in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 37.7% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Rams have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Kyren Williams has been a much smaller part of his offense's ground game this year (64.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (77.4%).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Arizona's unit has been great this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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