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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to accrue 16.1 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to run on 39.8% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • After accounting for 77.4% of his offense's run game usage last season, Kyren Williams has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this season, now taking on only 66.9%.

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