Kyren Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 20, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 4-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a colossal 59.8 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to earn 19.2 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
After taking on 72.9% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Kyren Williams has been more involved in the run game this year, now accounting for 82.9%.

Favors Under

Right now, the 10th-least run-heavy offense in football (37.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Rams.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
The Raiders defensive ends project as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

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