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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+530/-660).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -570 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -660.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Kyler Murray to throw 35.8 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.40 per game) vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Cardinals to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Kyler Murray to be much more involved in his team's ground game near the goal line this week (32.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).

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