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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-330).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -405 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -330.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals rank as the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.8 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Kyler Murray has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL when it comes to QBs (3rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • While Kyler Murray has garnered 18.2% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Arizona's running game near the goal line this week at 24.6%.

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