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Kyler Murray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-315).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +275 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +285.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

Kyler Murray is positioned as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a stellar 70.4% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 79th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.

Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

While Kyler Murray has earned 11.1% of his team's red zone run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Arizona's run game near the end zone in this week's game at 21.4%.

With a terrific rate of 0.21 TDs on the ground per game (84th percentile), Kyler Murray stands among the best rushing quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season.

More Kyler Murray Player Props

Kyler Murray TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3