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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The New Orleans Saints defense has been something of pass funnel last year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (34.4 per game) last year.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football last year.

Kyler Murray ranks as one of the most on-target QBs in the NFL last year with a remarkable 68.2% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in football against the Saints defense last year (68.1% Adjusted Completion%).

Last year, the strong Saints defense has surrendered a mere 1.12 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

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