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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Kyler Murray to notch 5.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Kyler Murray has been a more important option in his offense's run game this year (23.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (17.0%).
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to run on 39.2% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Cardinals to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Kyler Murray has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (32.0).
  • Kyler Murray's ground effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling a measly 6.02 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 7.68 figure last season.

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