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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.
  • The projections expect Kyler Murray to total 6.8 carries in this game, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
  • After comprising 17.0% of his team's run game usage last season, Kyler Murray has been more involved in the run game this season, currently accounting for 25.8%.
  • Kyler Murray has averaged 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (82nd percentile).
  • This year, the deficient Titans run defense has given up a monstrous 152.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.4% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Kyler Murray's 5.94 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year shows a significant decrease in his rushing proficiency over last year's 7.68 mark.

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