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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.

The projections expect Kyler Murray to total 5.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most out of all QBs.

After comprising 17.0% of his team's rush attempts last season, Kyler Murray has had a larger role in the run game this season, now making up 27.1%.

Kyler Murray has generated 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league when it comes to QBs (86th percentile).

With an impressive total of 2.81 yards-after-contact (81st percentile), Kyler Murray rates among the leading rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projection model to call only 63.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.

Kyler Murray's 5.64 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year conveys a noteworthy diminishment in his running ability over last year's 7.68 mark.

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