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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to run on 46.1% of their downs: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Kyler Murray to accrue 5.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 7th-most among all QBs.
  • Kyler Murray has been a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this year (25.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.0%).
  • With an outstanding record of 32.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Kyler Murray ranks as one of the best running QBs in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Kyler Murray's running efficiency has worsened this season, compiling just 5.64 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.68 mark last season.

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