Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 70.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to accrue 4.9 carries in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (20.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.4% in games he has played).
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Kyler Murray has run for many fewer yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-least yards in the NFL (just 99 per game) vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

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