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Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 212.5 (-118/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.The Arizona O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.With a fantastic 68.5% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Kyler Murray places among the most on-target QBs in football.Since the start of last season, the feeble Panthers defense has surrendered a staggering 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst rate in the league.Since the start of last season, the deficient Panthers defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a colossal 8.32 yards.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.The predictive model expects Kyler Murray to attempt 32.4 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.
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