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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • In logging a staggering 36.5 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Kyler Murray rates among the top quarterbacks in the league (78th percentile) in this regard.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cardinals offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projection model to run only 64.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

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