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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Kyler Murray Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.

The projections expect Kyler Murray to total 6.8 carries in this game, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

After comprising 17.0% of his team's run game usage last season, Kyler Murray has been more involved in the run game this season, currently accounting for 25.8%.

The Titans safeties profile as the 31st-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.4% run rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

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