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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to run on 46.1% of their downs: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Kyler Murray to accrue 5.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 7th-most among all QBs.
  • Kyler Murray has been a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this year (25.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.0%).
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

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