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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyler Murray Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.

Right now, the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (41.1% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.

In this game, Kyler Murray is predicted by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 4th-most carries among all quarterbacks with 6.6.

Kyler Murray isn't afraid to run the ball himself, comprising 24.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projection model to run only 64.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

The Arizona O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's unit has been terrific this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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