Kylen Granson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kylen Granson

NFL · Player Props

Kylen Granson

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kylen Granson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-152).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
Kylen Granson's 56.6% Route Participation% this season shows a noteable growth in his pass game volume over last season's 43.1% rate.
As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.1%) vs. tight ends this year (78.1%).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Kylen Granson's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 77.7% to 62.8%.

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