Kylen Granson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Kylen Granson

NFL · Player Props

Kylen Granson

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Kylen Granson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Kylen Granson to earn 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Kylen Granson's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.7% to 70.6%.
Kylen Granson's receiving efficiency has declined this year, notching a measly 5.93 yards-per-target vs a 7.28 rate last year.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus TEs since the start of last season, allowing 7.04 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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