Kylen Granson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kylen Granson

NFL · Player Props

Kylen Granson

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 6, 2022 11:25 PM EST

Analysis

Kylen Granson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
Kylen Granson has been a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this season (9.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (3.1%).
Kylen Granson has compiled significantly more air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Kylen Granson's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, notching a mere 6.86 yards-per-target compared to a 7.98 figure last season.
Kylen Granson has been among the weakest TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 4.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 10th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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