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This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.The model projects Kyle Pitts to be a more important option in his offense's air attack near the end zone in this contest (20.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.2% in games he has played).Kyle Pitts has totaled many more air yards this year (49.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).
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