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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-335).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +290 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Kyle Pitts has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.2% this year, which ranks him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.1% red zone run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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