My Account Log Out
 
 
Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-161).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 135.8 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Kyle Pitts's 91.5% Route Participation% this season represents a substantial gain in his air attack usage over last season's 75.7% mark.
  • The projections expect Kyle Pitts to earn 8.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The Atlanta O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.4% pass rate.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™