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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Kyle Pitts has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (91.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (75.7%).
  • In this week's game, Kyle Pitts is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.9 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the least pass-heavy offense in football (55.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Falcons.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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