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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-107/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • Kyle Pitts's 91.4% Route% this season reflects a meaningful progression in his pass attack usage over last season's 75.7% rate.
  • In this week's contest, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.6 targets.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • Kyle Pitts's receiving skills have gotten better this season, notching 4.0 adjusted catches vs a mere 2.7 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

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