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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Kyle Pitts's 90.8% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a material gain in his passing offense workload over last year's 75.7% rate.
  • The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to notch 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Kyle Pitts's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, averaging 4.4 adjusted catches compared to a mere 2.7 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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