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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Kyle Pitts's 90.8% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a material gain in his passing offense workload over last year's 75.7% rate.
  • The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to notch 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Kyle Pitts's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, averaging 4.4 adjusted catches compared to a mere 2.7 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
  • At the present time, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (58.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Falcons.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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