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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-172/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -172.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Kyle Pitts has gone out for fewer passes this season (91.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (75.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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