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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Kyle Pitts has gone out for fewer passes this season (91.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (75.7%).
  • In this contest, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.2 targets.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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