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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+111/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +111.
  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to garner 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts's 51.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 99th percentile for TEs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • Kyle Pitts's receiving talent has diminished this year, totaling a measly 2.4 yards per game vs 3.9 last year.
  • Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 62.0% to 44.1%.

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