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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -102.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to notch 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this season (26.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.0%).
  • The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
  • Kyle Pitts's play as a receiver has declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.8 yards per game vs 3.9 last year.

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