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Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-111/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

Kyle Pitts has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (91.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (75.7%).

In this week's contest, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.8 targets.

Kyle Pitts has notched a whopping 36.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

Kyle Pitts's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a noteworthy decline in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.0% rate.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 9th-best in football.

More Kyle Pitts Player Props

Kyle Pitts Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9