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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.8 plays per game.
  • Kyle Pitts's 91.0% Route Participation Rate this year reflects an impressive growth in his air attack workload over last year's 75.7% mark.
  • The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to garner 6.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 54.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Pitts has gotten worse this season, currently sitting at 27.0 per game.
  • Kyle Pitts's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a noteable decline in his efficiency in space over last season's 5.0% rate.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.7%) vs. TEs this year (71.7%).

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