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Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-107/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

Kyle Pitts's 91.5% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a noteable growth in his air attack usage over last season's 75.7% mark.

Our trusted projections expect Kyle Pitts to notch 8.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Kyle Pitts has notched far more air yards this year (51.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.6% pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

Kyle Pitts's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.98 mark last year.

This year, the poor New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed a staggering 81.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 5th-worst rate in football.

More Kyle Pitts Player Props

Kyle Pitts Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18