My Account Log Out
 
 
Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-107/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Kyle Pitts's 91.7% Route Participation Rate this year reflects a noteworthy gain in his passing game volume over last year's 75.7% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Kyle Pitts's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a significant drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 5.0% mark.
  • This year, the daunting Rams defense has allowed a paltry 44.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 7th-best in the NFL.
  • The Rams pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against tight ends this year, allowing 6.19 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™