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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-106/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 135.3 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Kyle Pitts's 91.5% Route Participation% this season represents a substantial gain in his air attack usage over last season's 75.7% mark.
  • The projections expect Kyle Pitts to earn 8.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • After averaging 36.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Pitts has made big progress this season, currently sitting at 52.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Falcons to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Kyle Pitts's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a remarkable reduction in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.0% figure.

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