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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kyle Pitts's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a significant regression in his effectiveness in space over last season's 5.0% figure.
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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