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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-106/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • Kyle Pitts's 91.4% Route% this season reflects a meaningful progression in his pass attack usage over last season's 75.7% rate.
  • In this week's contest, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.6 targets.
  • After totaling 36.0 air yards per game last year, Kyle Pitts has seen a big uptick this year, currently sitting at 45.0 per game.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • With a bad 6.5 adjusted yards per target (20th percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts places among the worst pass-catching tight ends in the league.
  • Kyle Pitts's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a noteworthy decline in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.0% figure.
  • The New York Jets defense has surrendered the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 44.0) versus TEs this year.

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