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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Kyle Pitts has gone out for fewer passes this season (91.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (75.7%).
  • In this contest, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.2 targets.
  • When it comes to air yards, Kyle Pitts ranks in the lofty 96th percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating a remarkable 42.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Kyle Pitts's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a meaningful diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.0% rate.

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