Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kyle Pitts

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Pitts

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to garner 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
Kyle Pitts has notched significantly more air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (70.0 per game).
Kyle Pitts's 51.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 99th percentile for TEs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Kyle Pitts has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 62.0% to 44.1%.

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