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Kyle Monangai

Kyle Monangai Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Kyle Monangai Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run on 46.2% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call 68.8 offensive plays in this game: the most among all teams this week.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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