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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-1450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1450.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • As it relates to air yards, Kyle Juszczyk ranks in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a colossal 11.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Kyle Juszczyk's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.2% to 91.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 45.6% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Falcons defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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