Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Touchdowns

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 3, 2025

Updated Sep 21, 2025 8:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -960 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
Kyle Juszczyk has received just 0.0% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 1st percentile among RBs.
With a top-tier 7.1% Red Zone Target% (78th percentile) this year, Kyle Juszczyk has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage near the goal line in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Right now, the 10th-most run-focused team in the league in the red zone (45.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the San Francisco 49ers.
With a bad 66.8% Adjusted Completion% (5th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Juszczyk rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs.

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