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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -960 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
  • Kyle Juszczyk has received just 0.0% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 1st percentile among RBs.
  • With a top-tier 7.1% Red Zone Target% (78th percentile) this year, Kyle Juszczyk has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage near the goal line in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Right now, the 10th-most run-focused team in the league in the red zone (45.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the San Francisco 49ers.
  • With a bad 66.8% Adjusted Completion% (5th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Juszczyk rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs.

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